Congress prediction markets: votes, bills and shutdowns
Congress markets ask yes/no questions about what Congress will do by a set date, such as whether a bill passes or a government shutdown starts. Each one settles on the official record named in its rules, such as a roll-call vote or a bill becoming law. We list what is open now and explain how each type works.
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Short answer
Congress markets ask yes/no questions about what Congress will do by a set date, such as whether a bill passes or a government shutdown starts. Each one settles on the official record named in its rules, such as a roll-call vote or a bill becoming law. We list what is open now and explain how each type works.
We earn a commission if you sign up through these offers. 21+.
Kalshi: Trade $25 and Get $25!
RANKPREDICTSCertain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Last checked November 9, 2026
Common market types
- Bill passage by a date
- Government shutdown or funding deadlines
- Leadership and votes
- Confirmation votes for nominees
How they settle
Most settle on the official record (Congress.gov, the House and Senate roll-call pages, or a bill signed into law). Read the rules for the exact source and deadline.
What is open now
Frequently asked questions
What does 'passes Congress' mean in a market?
It depends on the rules. Some markets need both chambers to pass the same bill, others need it signed into law. Check the wording.
Where can I check a vote?
On Congress.gov and the House and Senate roll-call pages.
Can I trade Congress markets from my state?
Kalshi and Polymarket US list them for US users where available. Check your state's status.
21+ · T&Cs apply · Terms
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.